RBI announces Interest Rate Cut

The Reserve Bank of India on Tuesday cut its key policy rate, repo rate, by 50 basis points to 6.75 percent against expectations of a 25 bps cut to spur demand in the economy, which the central bank said is crucial to growth in an environment of multiple global headwinds.

Market experts and analysts reacted to the RBI move with a sense of surprise and elation. They said the move was timely and would go a long way in providing the much-needed boost to the economy and the financial market .. 

Link: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/analysts-economists-react-with-surprise-elation/articleshow/49149368.cms

US and Indian Family systems

Source: http://www.newindianexpress.com/columns/s_gurumurthy/Tendulkars-prose-and-economics/2013/11/23/article1905633.ece

• “Revere your mother and father as God,” mandates Taitriya Upanishad. Bhishma Pitamaha says in Mahabharata, “The father equals ten teachers. But the mother equals ten fathers or perhaps the whole world in importance.”
• All ancient traditions of the world revere mothers. But what about the modern society? Does it recognise or accept reverence for mothers? Or, for others? Doubtful. 
• In the US, some 55 per cent of the first, 67 per cent of the second and 74 per cent of third marriages end in divorce.
• Over 40 per cent of the babies are born to unmarried women, half of them teenagers. And some 60 per cent of men and women are avoiding marriage. The dysfunctional traditional families and its consequence, contract-based socioeconomic order, have orphaned and condemned elders, infirm and unemployed as state-dependents.
• This is the output of unbridled individualism and its offshoot, modernity. 
• Yet, many educated Indians think that modernity means just Western dress, English language and urban living.
• How do the relation-built, duty-based traditional economies and the rights-centric, duty-free modern economies differ? Take just two areas — savings and social security. 
• See how the microeconomic behaviour affects the macro economy. The family-based Asia accounts for three quarters of global savings. 
• But the individualist US borrows almost the equal amount from the world. Why? 
• American families have virtually lost their propensity to save. The families’ share was four-fifths of total US savings in the 1960s and, by the third quarter of 2006, it became minus — yes minus — one fifth, implying that the US families spent 20 per cent more than their current income. 
• The erosion in family values which undermined family responsibilities and dented the propensity to save, has made the Americans profligate. Some 11 crore US families use 120 credit and debit cards. 
• Their total borrowings exceed $12 trillion against the current US GDP of $16 trillion. Since 1970, US foreign debt has risen by 160 times, its national debt by 40 times, but its GDP only by 16 times. 
• As the families disintegrated, the care of parents, elders, infirm and unemployed fell on the State which has virtually nationalised families through social security schemes. The present value of the future social security burden of the US is estimated at over $100 trillions — more than six times the present US GDP.
• This is seen as dynamiting the US economy. As far back as in 1980s, the US National Bureau of Economic Research had warned that if the government took over traditional family duties through State-organised social security, “serious erosion of family values” was inevitable. (The American Economy in Transition by Martin S Fieldstein p341).
• The warning, unheeded then, has now come true. This is as much the outcome of modern individualism as of the economics of theories founded on it.
• In contrast, most Asian families save and save a lot. Because of high savings, social security to the aged, infirm and unemployed is provided by Asian families, not by governments.
• Alan Greenspan, the former US Federal Reserve chairman, made fun of the Asian nations saying that they save a lot due to insecurity about future, because their governments do not provide social security, while the confident Americans need not and do not save, because the US government provides social safety net. This was before the 2008 meltdown. Greenspan may not dare repeat his words now because, as The New York Times says, half the US families receive state aid.
• In contrast, Asia’s family saving has privatised social security as families’ moral responsibility.
• A Brookings Institution economist Barry Bobsworth described the Asian savings as “dynastic”—belonging to future generations, not just the personal savings of the saver. The traditional reverence for parents and elders and the consequent duty and relation-based family life have made savings dynastic, moderated consumption and funded family-provided social security.
• Forty years after being warned, the US is now desperate that social security be privatised. But that would need recreating traditional families that the current economic theories cannot. The lesson? “Matru Devo Bhava” and “Pitru Devo Bhava” — revering mother and father as Gods — and like social norms build a stable macroeconomic model founded on dynastic savings and moderate consumption and keep social security privatised.
• Clearly, traditional reverence for parents and elders at the micro level and macroeconomics of dynastic savings and family provided social security are interrelated. When will the Indian socioeconomic discourse internalise this profound truth? 

Excellent Article on payment Banking

An Outstanding article. Read each line carefully to realize the impact.


http://www.firstpost.com/business/its-a-big-deal-why-payment-banks-will-change-the-banking-game-for-you-and-me-2400256.html


Key Points:

1. 11 private partied have been given licenses to set up "payment banks".

2.  The only thing they can't do is lend to common public. Payment banks can only lend to the government. So Payment banks will have zero loan defaults because Governments do not default.

3. Any one with 100 cores in his / her kitty can set up such a bank. There are few other norms (not being a crook / not flouting regulatory norms previously etc.)

4. So the number of such banks is likely to increase.

5. Who all have got licenses:  Aditya Birla Group, Reliance Industries, Airtel, Vodafone, the National Securities Depository (which holds almost all of India’s stocks in demat form, and provides the backbone for a tax information network), PayTM, Tech Mahindra, and Sun Pharma’s Dilip Shanghvi

6. Why is this a big deal for customers??

a) Payment banks will have greater penetration and can reach upto remotest customer. These banks will rely on technology to reach payment services to all customers, using mobiles as the vehicle of banking. The mobile phone will become the virtual ATM and small-payments cheque-book.

b) Competition will increase. banks will vie for deposits. Above-limit ATM transactions, additional cheque-books, big money transfers, maintenance of minimum balances, or draft issuance fees: all these will either wither away or get reduced.

c) Payment banks may offer higher savings bank rates of 5-7 percent (to get more deposits).

d) Social welfare and subsidy schemes will have a much better reach through these banks.  The difference between State Bank and Airtel is simply this: both have over 200 million customers, but Airtel can go where State Bank cannot with a branch.

e) Increased mobile banking will create conditions for cash-less banking. This means, over time, the mobile will perform the same role as credit and debit cards, obviating the need for too many cash payments. Black Money will be reduced.

Wholesale Inflation lowest in decade

Wholesale inflation fell at a faster-than-expected annual rate of 4.05 per cent in July, their ninth straight decline and their lowest in at least a decade, mainly driven by weak food and fuel prices.

The wholesale food prices fell 1.16 per cent year-on-year, while fuel prices fell 12.81 per cent from a year ago.

Retail inflation hits 2-yr low

The fall in retail inflation to 3.78 % in July, a two-year low, has come in the backdrop of substantial decline in food inflation, which fell to 2.89 percent from 5.7 percent in the preceding month. Even more surprising is the negative growth shown in vegetable prices.

China Devalues Yuan by 2 %

China devalued Yuan by 2 %.

This is in line with China's stated objective of promoting export based economy.

This article is quite good: http://www.hindustantimes.com/business-news/what-yuan-devaluation-means-for-china-other-countries/article1-1379129.aspx

RBI Keeps Rates Unchanged

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its policy rate (Repo Rate) unchanged at 7.25 percent. 

The central bank has reduced the policy rate by a total 75 basis points since January, when it embarked on an easing cycle.